TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 FOR TONGA ON TROPICAL CYCLONE URMIL (CATEGORY 1)
ISSUED FROM THE FUA'AMOTU TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE AT 4:00AM MONDAY 02 MARCH 2026
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THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE FOR TONGATAPU, 'EUA, TELE-KI-TONGA AND TELE-KI-TOKELAU IS NOW CANCELLED.
WARNINGS:
	WARNING FOR LAND AREAS GALE WARNING REMAIN IN FORCE FOR HA'APAI, TONGATAPU AND 'EUA LAND AREAS. HEAVY RAIN WARNING AND FLASH FLOOD ADVISORY REMAIN IN FORCE FOR VAVA'U, HA'APAI, TONGATAPU AND 'EUA LAND AREAS. STRONG WIND WARNING REMAIN IN FORCE FOR VAVA'U LAND AREAS. WARNING FOR COASTAL WATERS: GALE WARNING AND HEAVY DAMAGING SWELL REMAIN IN FORCE FOR HA'APAI, TONGATAPU, 'EUA, TELE-KI-TONGA AND TELE-KI-TOKELAU COASTAL WATERS. STRONG WIND WARNING REMAIN IN FORCE FOR VAVA'U COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAIN IN FORCE FOR VAVA'U, HA'APAI, TONGATAPU, 'EUA, TELE-KI-TONGA AND TELE-KI-TOKELAU COASTAL WATERS.
SITUATION:
	TROPICAL CYCLONE URMIL (CATEGORY 1) WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 SOUTH, LONGITUDE 178.2 WEST OR 760KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF 'EUA OR 780KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF NUKU'ALOFA AT 3:00AM THIS MORNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE URMIL (CATEGORY 1) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT THE SPEED OF 7 KNOTS (14KM/HR) FURTHER AWAY FROM TONGA. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAIN WINDS NEAR THE CENTER IS ABOUT 35-45 KNOTS (70-90 KM/HR) WITH MOMENTARY GUST OF UP TO 55-60 KNOTS (110-120KM/HR). MEANWHILE AN ACTIVE TROUGH LINE LIES SLOW MOVING OVER TONGA, WITH ASSOCIATED CLOUDS, HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WINDS AND DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WILL CONTINUE AFFECT HA'APAI, TONGATAPU, 'EUA, TELE-KI-TONGA AND TELE-KI-TOKELAU COASTAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
	FOR TELE-KI-TONGA AND TELE-KI-TOKELAU: NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 35-45 KNOTS (70-90KM/HR) WITH MOMENTARY GUST UP TO 55-65 KNOTS (110-130KM/HR) AT TIMES TODAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY AND OVERCAST WITH HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS (UP TO 7-10 METRES). A HEAVY DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY SWELL (UP TO 4-6 METRES). POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. FOR HA'APAI, TONGATAPU AND 'EUA : NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 25-35 KNOTS (50-70KM/HR) WITH MOMENTARY GUST UP TO 40-45 KNOTS (80-90KM/HR) AT TIMES. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH DOWNBURST-TORNADO LIKE WINDS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS (UP TO 4-6 METRES). A HEAVY DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY SWELL (UP TO 4-5 METRES). POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD IN LOW LYING AREAS DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. FOR VAVA'U: NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-20 KNOTS (30-50KM/HR) RISING UP TO 25-30 KNOTS (50-60KM/HR). CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. MODERATE SEAS (UP TO 2.5 METRES). POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD IN LOW LYING AREAS DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. FOR THE NIUAS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 KNOTS (30-40KM/HR) RISING UP TO 20 KNOTS (40KM/HR). CLOUDY AT TIMES WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS, POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. MODERATE SEAS (UP TO 2 METRES).
TIDE PREDICTION
	HIGH TIDE: 6:30AM LOW TIDE: 12:30PM
	THE MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE RECORDED AT FUA'AMOTU AIRPORT AT 4:00AM WAS 1004.5 MILLIBARS AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WAS 99%. THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE URMIL (CAT1) FOR TONGA. THE NEXT WEATHER BULLETIN WILL BE THE ROUTINE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED AT 6AM THIS MORNING.
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FCD: LF/PK/NH/IL/= CRS: UV/=