seasonalForecast

 ENSO Forecast [ Aug to Oct ]

 LA NINA NEUTRAL EL NINO
0% (0%)
49% (49%)
51% (51%)

WEEK EL NINO

Provided by APEC Climate Center

ENSO Advisory

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. The waters beneath the surface are presently significantly warmer than normal, indicating the chance of El Niño forming later in the coming months has increased. Most international climate models surveyed suggest more warming is likely for tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and reach El Niño levels in the southern hemisphere spring. Current.


 Seasonal Forecast

>> Analysis of RAINFALL in last 3 months and forecasts for next 6 months
Island Group May to Jul
[Observed]
Aug to Oct
[Forecast]
Nov to Jan
[Forecast]
Niuafo'ou 35% 37%
Niuatoputapu 38% 40%
Vava'u 35% 44%
Ha'apai 37% 42%
Tongatapu and 'Eua 35% 37%
 DRIER NORMAL WETTER
>> Analysis of TEMPERATURE in last 3 months and forecasts for next 6 months
Island Group May to Jul
[Observed]
Aug to Oct
[Forecast]
Nov to Jan
[Forecast]
Niuafo'ou 47% 50%
Niuatoputapu 47% 76%
Vava'u 40% 76%
Ha'apai 38% 70%
Tongatapu and 'Eua 38% 70%
 WARMER NORMAL COOLER