seasonalForecast
ENSO Forecast [ Jul to Sep ]
LA NINA
NEUTRAL
EL NINO
NEUTRAL
Provided by APEC Climate Center
ENSO Advisory
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral—neither El Niño nor La Niña. the tropical Pacific Ocean is expected to remain in an ENSO-neutral phase over the coming months
Seasonal Forecast
>> Analysis of RAINFALL in last 3 months and forecasts for next 6 months
| Island Group |
Apr to Jun
[Observed] |
Jul to Sep
[Forecast] |
Oct to Dec
[Forecast] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niuafo'ou | 41% | 37% | |
| Niuatoputapu | 42% | 41% | |
| Vava'u | 41% | 50% | |
| Ha'apai | 41% | 47% | |
| Tongatapu and 'Eua | 46% | 62% |
DRIER
NORMAL
WETTER
>> Analysis of TEMPERATURE in last 3 months and forecasts for next 6 months
| Island Group |
Apr to Jun
[Observed] |
Jul to Sep
[Forecast] |
Oct to Dec
[Forecast] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niuafo'ou | 45% | 59% | |
| Niuatoputapu | 44% | 56% | |
| Vava'u | 44% | 46% | |
| Ha'apai | 46% | 50% | |
| Tongatapu and 'Eua | 44% | 57% |
WARMER
NORMAL
COOLER