seasonalForecast

 ENSO Forecast [ Jan to Mar ]

 LA NINA NEUTRAL EL NINO
1% (1%)
56% (56%)
43% (43%)

NEUTRAL

Provided by APEC Climate Center

ENSO Advisory

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral—neither El Niño nor La Niña. the tropical Pacific Ocean is expected to remain in an ENSO-neutral phase over the coming months


 Seasonal Forecast

>> Analysis of RAINFALL in last 3 months and forecasts for next 6 months
Island Group Oct to Dec
[Observed]
Jan to Mar
[Forecast]
Apr to Jun
[Forecast]
Niuafo'ou 42% 35%
Niuatoputapu 46% 36%
Vava'u 40% 38%
Ha'apai 45% 38%
Tongatapu and 'Eua 43% 43%
 DRIER NORMAL WETTER
>> Analysis of TEMPERATURE in last 3 months and forecasts for next 6 months
Island Group Oct to Dec
[Observed]
Jan to Mar
[Forecast]
Apr to Jun
[Forecast]
Niuafo'ou 45% 59%
Niuatoputapu 44% 56%
Vava'u 44% 46%
Ha'apai 46% 50%
Tongatapu and 'Eua 44% 57%
 WARMER NORMAL COOLER